Low-cost hospital satellite centres / care units in non-metros
Business Model Description
Technology-enabled, asset-light, scalable satellite centres or small care units to serve under-penetrated lower-tier cities and villages by providing quality healthcare services that are accessible and affordable.
Expected Impact
Improvement in access to quality and affordable healthcare by populations in peri-urban and rural areas through better medical infrastructure and care.
How is this information gathered?
Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.
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Country & Regions
- India: Countrywide
Sector Classification
Health Care
Development need
India ranked 145 among 195 countries in a Lancet study measuring Healthcare quality and access. (2.1) India's progress on SDGs 3 (Good Health and Well-Being) was given a score of 61 on 100 on the SDG India Index as many States still lag behind on their health-related targets (2.2)
In 2017, India's Government Health Expenditure on healthcare was just 0.96% of GDP compared to the world average of 5.9% (2.5) While the expenditure increased to 1.28% of GDP in 2018, it still lags behind comparable countries (2.6) As a result, the private sector is the dominant healthcare provider in India (2.2)
Due to low government healthcare expenditure (2.5), and low insurance penetration (total insurance penetration in India was 3.69% in 2017 according to Insurance Regulatory And Development Authority Of India (IRDAI) (2.7), out-of-pocket expenditure accounts for 62.4% of healthcare expenditure in India compared to the world average of 18.2%. (2.8)
According to the NITI Aayog's State Health Index Report 2019 (Healthy States, Progressive India), the overall health index score of India's best-performing state is more than two and a half times as that of the bottom-most performer (2.2)
Policy priority
National Health Policy 2017 was introduced to lay out specific targets to increase life expectancy, reduce mortality rates and disease prevalence, ensure universal coverage of health services, increase healthcare financing, infrastructure and human resources and improve disease prevention and health information management efforts (2.11)
The Government of India (GOI) approved the continuation of the National Health Mission with a budget of USD 4.88 billion under Union Budget 2020-21 (IBEF) The Ayushman Bharat - Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PMJAY), the largest government-funded healthcare programme targeting more than 500 million beneficiaries, was allocated USD 919.87 million (2.12)
Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
A lack of clear regulations has led to variation in quality and costs of private sector services. (2.2) As a result, out-of-pocket medical expenses were estimated to have pushed 55 million into poverty in 2011-2012 (2.9)
Investment opportunities introduction
Impact of COVID-19: COVID-19 has further highlighted the inadequacies of the healthcare system with respect to a lack of delivery capacity. As a result, healthcare has emerged as a priority area for the country is likely to remain a policy priority for the Government. Global disruptions in supply chains have also impacted the sector. As the country looks to "Make in India", there are likely to be a number of opportunities for local companies (2.13)
Key bottlenecks introduction
Low purchasing power among target communities and lack of insurance penetration.
Health Care Providers
Development need
A lack of both human and capital resources constrain healthcare delivery in India. In 2018, India had only 0.9 physicians for 1000 people (2.4).
Policy priority
Strong policy momentum driven by a number of strategic interventions in National Health Mission and the national disease control programmes (4.10)
Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Nearly 75% of dispensaries, 60% of hospitals and 80% of doctors are located in urban areas, serving only 28 per cent of the Indian population. (2.10)
Investment opportunities introduction
The hospital industry is expected to reach USD 132 bn by 2023 from USD 61.8 bn in 2017; growing at a compounded annual growth rate of 16-17% (4.11)
Key bottlenecks introduction
High cost of healthcare delivery due to unavailability of medical professionals, equipment import costs, infrastructure costs and cost of updating medical technologies.
Health Care Delivery
Pipeline Opportunity
Low-cost hospital satellite centres / care units in non-metros
Technology-enabled, asset-light, scalable satellite centres or small care units to serve under-penetrated lower-tier cities and villages by providing quality healthcare services that are accessible and affordable.
Business Case
Market Size and Environment
> USD 1 billion
15% - 20%
The hospital industry is expected to reach USD 132 bn by 2023 from USD 61.8 bn in 2017; growing at a compounded annual growth rate of 16-17% (4.11)
Additional three million beds will be needed for India to achieve the target of 3 beds per 1,000 people by 2025 (4.10)
Pricing levels in smaller cities are expected to be 40-50% lower than that of metro markets (4.6)
Indicative Return
10% - 15%
Returns for hospital chains are expected to be between 5-15% depending on the size of the facility and the occupancy rate. High valuations have lowered returns in the past, but the valuations are expected to be moderated going forward, offering higher returns (4.5)
A 200-bed facility in Tier 2/3 cities can generate ROCE (Return On Capital Employed) of ~14-15% in 3 years of operations provided it is able to achieve 80% occupancy and it reserves up to 25% of its capacity for Ayushman Bharath patients. (4.6)
Even established chains report occupancy levels of c.70-75% (4.7) (4.8) and Return on Investment (ROI) for private healthcare players is between 5-10% (4.9)
Investment Timeframe
Medium Term (5–10 years)
A 200-bed hospital can break-even in 3 years (4.6), assuming an 85% utilisation rate. However, the utilisations rates reported by hospitals are c.60-70% (4.12)
Healthcare is a highly capital intensive business because of the following: - real estate involved in setting up facilities; and - money required for medical equipment and hiring staff
It takes at least 3-5 years for a greenfield project to break even, even in urban areas (4.13) Therefore the break-even period is expected to be longer (5 years or more)
PE deals in the space have proven to take a longer period of time (7-10 years) to generate attractive returns due to the long gestation period (4.13)
Ticket Size
For the healthcare sector, data from Praxis Global Alliance, 2019 shows that early stage investments stood at USD 41 million, growth stage investments stood at USD 359 million and late stage investments stood at USD 1,486 million. (7.7)
Market Risks & Scale Obstacles
Business - Supply Chain Constraints
Impact Case
Sustainable Development Need
India has 1 hospital bed per 879 people including private hospitals, which is only a third of the global average.
This ratio is poorer in non-urban India at one bed for over 1000 people (4.1) A large section of the population travels more than 100 km to access basic healthcare. According to estimates, urban centres are home to almost 65% of the country’s hospital beds despite having less than 30% of the total population (4.2)
As a result, It estimates that more than 2.4 million people died in India in 2016 due to conditions that could have been treated by healthcare — the highest number of “amenable deaths” among the countries studied. Of this, nearly 1.6 million people — 66% — died of poor quality of the healthcare services received while 838,000 people died due to non-utilisation of healthcare services, the study says (4.3)
Gender & Marginalisation
Nearly 75% of dispensaries, 60% of hospitals and 80% of doctors are located in urban areas, serving only 28 per cent of the Indian populace. (2.10)
Expected Development Outcome
Ensure improved access and affordability, of quality secondary and tertiary care services in underserved areas Alleviate pressure on the public healthcare system by absorbing patients that would otherwise use public healthcare.
Following the surge in teleconsultations for healthcare following COVID19, the changed demand-side behaviour will lead to the growth of business models in this space with ensured outreach to areas beyond Tier I and II cities.
Gender & Marginalisation
Primary SDGs addressed
3.8.1 Coverage of essential health services
3.8.2 Proportion of population with large household expenditures on health as a share of total household expenditure or income
3.c.1 Health worker density and distribution
Secondary SDGs addressed
Directly impacted stakeholders
People
Gender inequality and/or marginalization
Outcome Risks
Success potential is limited to smaller hospitals as low margins attract only existing chains that can share resources among different hospitals to improve margins.
Impact Risks
Hospitals have just started to adopt the model and so the unit economics are not proven and this may affect breadth of impact.
Model will be impactful when universal health coverage is ensured by the Government under Ayushman Bharat.
Impact Classification
What
Broader healthcare offering could benefit millions of underserved populations outside urban centres
Who
A vast majority of patients in remote areas are expected to be paying patients, limiting the impact of the model to those who can afford the costs.
Risk
Hospitals have just started to adopt the model and so the unit economics are not proven and this may affect breadth of impact.
Impact Thesis
Improvement in access to quality and affordable healthcare by populations in peri-urban and rural areas through better medical infrastructure and care.
Enabling Environment
Policy Environment
Strong policy momentum driven by a number of strategic interventions in National Health Mission and the national disease control programmes (4.10)
GOI announced USD 9.87 billion outlay for the healthcare sector that is inclusive of USD 915.72 million for Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (PMJAY) scheme, which aims at providing a health cover for secondary and tertiary care hospitalization to over 100 million poor and vulnerable families (approximately 500 million), in Union Budget 2020-21 (4.10)
Ayushman Bharat, the world's largest healthcare scheme (4.14), was launched to achieve the vision of Universal Health Coverage (UHC) (4.15)
As of November 2019, about 6.4 million people received free treatment under the Ayushman Bharat - Pradhan Mantri Jan Arogya Yojana (4.10) The mission improves the purchasing capacity of lower-income groups, thereby providing a larger addressable market for healthcare centres. In July 2019, the scheme enrolled 16,085 hospitals, including 8,059 private hospitals and 7,980 public hospitals (4.10)
Financial Environment
Financial incentives: FDI policies are also encouraging the private sector. 100% FDI is allowed under the automatic route for greenfield projects and for brownfield project investments, up to 100% FDI is permitted under the government route (4.10)
Financial incentives: FDI policies are also encouraging the private sector. 100% FDI is allowed under the automatic route for greenfield projects and for brownfield project investments, up to 100% FDI is permitted under the government route (4.10)
Regulatory Environment
Medical Council registers medical professionals and sets the standard of medical practice, 'disciplines' the professionals, monitors their activities and checks any malpractice. Doctors who set up their own clinics, hospitals, nursing homes, polyclinics, etc., have to register with the respective local body (4.14)
The regulatory guidelines for healthcare in India are often considered complex, time-consuming to comply with and unclear. Changing regulations have often impacted private hospital chains (4.16)
Marketplace Participants
Private Sector
Investors: KKR & Co., Mitsui & Co., Symphony International Holdings Limited, Foundation Holdings, Temasek Holdings, West Street Capital Partners, LGT Lightstone Aspada, CDC Group, International Finance Corporation, Kois Invest, Healthquad Advisors Private Limited, IDFC Private Equity, Mohair Investment and Trading Co., Evolvence Capital, Lok Capital Group, TrueNorth, General Atlantic invested in the largest disclosed deals in the hospital, clinic and healthcare facilities vertical between 2017-2019 (4.17) (4.18)
Private Sector
Corporations: Many corporate hospitals have been expanding to Tier 2 cities. Vaatsalya Healthcare is one of the first hospital chains to start focus on tier II and tier III for expansion (4.10) Narayana has expanded to Lucknow and Bhubaneshwar. Apollo is tapping Tier-II markets in Nashik, Indore, Vishakhapatnam, Guwahati and Tiruchi. Shalby is expanding operations in Jaipur, Mohali and Surat, while Max is tapping into the Tier-II markets of Mohali, Dehradun and Bhatinda. Max will also be making an entry into Moradabad soon. Manipal Health Enterprises is eyeing organic and inorganic acquisitions in Jaipur, Salem and Vishakhapatnam (4.19) Columbia Asia Hospitals Pvt. Ltd., Paras Healthcare Pvt. Ltd also operate healthcare facilities outside the metros (4.18) Radiant Life Care Private Limited develops, redevelops, manages, and operates health care facilities (4.18) A number of providers are also operating specialty clinics and hospitals such as ASG Eye Hospital LTD., Dr. Agarwals Health Care Limited, Deep Chand Dialysis Centre and Dr. Mohan's Diabetes Speciality Centre. (4.18)
Non-Profit
There are a number of industry associations such as Indian Medical Association, The Federation of Obstetric and Gynaecological Societies of India (4.10) and the Healthcare Federation of India "NATHEALTH"
Target Locations
India: Countrywide
References
- (2.1) https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(18)30994-2/fulltext#seccestitle190
- (2.2) https://niti.gov.in/sites/default/files/2019-12/SDG-India-Index-2.0_27-Dec.pdf
- (2.3) https://in.one.un.org/page/sustainable-development-goals/sdg-3-2/
- (2.4) https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.MED.PHYS.ZS
- (2.5) https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.XPD.GHED.GE.ZS?view=chart
- (2.6) https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/india-spending-more-on-healthcare-now-but-yet-not-as-much-as-others-heres-how-much-us-china-spend/1922253/
- (2.7) https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SH.XPD.OOPC.CH.ZS
- (2.8) https://www.irdai.gov.in/ADMINCMS/cms/whatsNew_Layout.aspx?page=PageNo3729&flag=1
- (2.9) https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/8/5/e018020#DC1
- (2.10) https://www.indiaoppi.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/12/Report-on-healthcare-access-initiatives-For-web.pdf
- (2.11) https://www.nhp.gov.in/nhpfiles/national_health_policy_2017.pdf
- (2.12) Stakeholder Consultations
- (2.13) https://www.ibef.org/industry/healthcare-india.aspx
- (4.1) https://www.techneconhealthcare.com/blog/establishing-hospitals-in-tier2-3.html
- (4.2) http://www.businessworld.in/article/Providing-Affordable-Rural-Healthcare-Ecosystem-In-India-Is-Need-Of-The-Hour/25-05-2019-170968/
- (4.3) https://www.newsclick.in/why-access-healthcare-bigger-problem-quality-india
- (4.4) https://www.brookings.edu/blog/up-front/2020/03/24/is-indias-health-infrastructure-equipped-to-handle-an-epidemic/
- (4.5) Stakeholder consultations
- (4.6) http://ficci.in/spdocument/23111/Re-engineering-Indian-healthcare-2.0_FICCI.pdf
- (4.7) https://www.statista.com/statistics/974022/apollo-hospitals-occupancy-rate-india/
- (4.8) https://www.statista.com/statistics/974028/fortis-healthcare-occupancy-rate-india/
- (4.9) https://health.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/hospitals/why-corporate-hospitals-are-changing-hands-in-india-/72818662
- (4.10) https://www.ibef.org/industry/healthcare-india.aspx
- (4.11) https://www.investindia.gov.in/sector/healthcare
- (4.12) https://www.expresshealthcare.in/news/hospitals-occupancy-drops-from-60-70-per-cent-in-weeks-to-25-30-per-cent-due-to-covid-19-icra/419283/
- (4.13) https://www.livemint.com/Companies/NtCZyqIawezdShYaFh81HJ/PE-funds-willing-to-wait-longer-for-returns-in-healthcare.html
- (4.14) https://www.financialexpress.com/economy/ayushman-bharat-how-worlds-largest-healthcare-scheme-fared-in-first-150-days/1491320/
- (4.15) https://pmjay.gov.in/about/pmjay
- (4.16) https://health.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/policy/health-ministry-issues-guidelines-for-notifying-covid-19-in-private-facilities/74692479
- (4.17) https://www.praxisga.com/press-releases/praxis-global-alliance/praxis-global-alliance-recent-report-healthcare-investor-sentiment-spotlight-2019-uncovers-investor-outlook-and-value-creation-opportunities-in-india
- (4.18) S&P Capital IQ data
- (4.19) https://www.thehindubusinessline.com/news/hospitals-see-healthy-prospects-in-tier-ii-cities/article28067158.ece