LED technology for urban public lighting
Business Model Description
Invest in the replacement of energy-intensive public street lighting (mercury and high-pressure sodium lamps) with more efficient LED technology, recouping capital from savings costs - model can be a direct investment through a concession or in a blended transaction
Expected Impact
Lower municipalities' energy bill and improve the quality and durability of public lighting
How is this information gathered?
Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.
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Country & Regions
- Brazil: Mato Grosso
- Brazil: Mato Grosso do Sul
- Brazil: Goiás
Sector Classification
Infrastructure
Development need
Brazil is held back by chronic underinvestment in infrastructure spending only 2.5% of GDP (2) This leads to critical structural inefficiencies: deficient existing transmission lines are responsible for a 20% energy loss (5); lack of investment in wastewater treatment is responsible for epidemics in over 1/3 of Brazilian households (6)
Policy priority
Infrastructure development is a top priority for the new administration, who has pledged to invest nearly US$ 50 billion in infrastructure in 2019 alone (vs. e.g., US$ 7 billion in 2018) (3) (4)
Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Poor access to core infrastructure
services forces women to allocate a large fraction of their
available time to family chores (7)
Investment opportunities introduction
New administration's infrastructure development pledge means closer collaboration with private investors (e.g., continuity of PPI program and concessions timeline from past to current administration)
Key bottlenecks introduction
Licensing, funding for land acquisitions, capital requirements
Utilities
Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Fostering gender equality may depend significantly on the externalities that infrastructure creates in terms of women’s time allocation and bargaining power (7)
Electric Utilities and Power Generators
Pipeline Opportunity
LED technology for urban public lighting
Invest in the replacement of energy-intensive public street lighting (mercury and high-pressure sodium lamps) with more efficient LED technology, recouping capital from savings costs - model can be a direct investment through a concession or in a blended transaction
Business Case
Market Size and Environment
> USD 1 billion
The public lighting market in Brazil consists in over 18 million lighting posts (10)
The cost of converting the entire grid is approximately US$ 8.6 billion. A focus on the most poorly-lit part of the country, aggregating over 90 million people and 4.5K municipalities, would yield a US$ 2.5 billion market (10)
Indicative Return
> 25%
A pre-feasibility study for use of LEDs in Rio de Janeiro estimated an IRR of 27% to an investment of around US$100 million over a five-year period to cover the costs of LED equipment and installation (10) The payback period was estimated at 6.5 years (10)
Investment Timeframe
Medium Term (5–10 years)
While the technology is available and rapidly deployable, public lighting assets belong to municipalities since 2014 (as opposed to electricity utilities) and there are up to 5,570 municipalities in the country (10).
This means that business models suited to each municipality's characteristics need to be devised, making large-scale projects time-consuming
Ticket Size
> USD 10 million
Market Risks & Scale Obstacles
Capital - Requires Subsidy
Capital - CapEx Intensive
Market - Highly Regulated
Impact Case
Sustainable Development Need
Public street lighting accounts for more than 4% of the country’s total energy consumption - this imposes a high budgetary strain on municipal entities, where public lighting is the highest city-level expense after payroll (10)
Blackouts and power outages have increased in frequency (15) across a country with one of the highest urbanization rates amongst large global economies
Gender & Marginalisation
Poor access to core infrastructure services forces women to allocate a large fraction of their available time to family chores (7)
Expected Development Outcome
Lower municipalities' energy bill from reduced public lighting expenses Improved quality of public lighting for citizens through higher-intensity, durable LED-lamps
Improve energy efficiency from LED technology (16). Up to 20% of Brazil's target to increase energy efficiency in the electricity sector by 10% by 2030 can be reached by introducing LED-public lighting (10)
Increase public safety by providing reliable, long-lasting public lighting infrastructure
Gender & Marginalisation
Improved access to infrastructure services may free women’s time in such a way that they could devote more time to building their own human capital (7)
Primary SDGs addressed
7.1.1 Proportion of population with access to electricity
7.3.1 Energy intensity measured in terms of primary energy and GDP
7.b.1 Installed renewable energy-generating capacity in developing countries (in watts per capita)
100 % (2018) (18) 4.11 Megajoules per Constant 2011 Purchasing Power Parity GDP (2017) (19) Installed renewable electricity-generating capacity 650.004 watts per capita (2018) (19)
100% Target 7.3: By 2030, double the global rate of improvement in energy efficiency (19) By 2030, expand infrastructure and upgrade technology for supplying modern and sustainable energy services for all in developing countries (19)
Secondary SDGs addressed
Directly impacted stakeholders
People
Public sector
Indirectly impacted stakeholders
Planet
Outcome Risks
If undertaken as a public lighting project in collaboration with a development finance institution, the project could set a new precedent in which future investments would depend on DFI involvement
Improper disposal of replaced bulbs
Impact Risks
Unexpected impact risk: negative environmental externality due to the improper disposal of lightbulbs and the precedence created in financing through collaboration with DFIs
Execution risk: due to the multiplicity of municipalities that need to be engaged
Impact Classification
What
The outcome is likely to be positive, important and largely intended because LED-lamps could lower municipalities' energy bill and improve the quality and durability of public lighting
Who
Municipal governments and taxpayers who are underserved due to higher electricity bills resulting from inefficient public lighting
Risk
While the technology is proven and readily available, external factors such as the multiplicity of municipalities that need to be engaged may disrupt the ability of the IOA
Impact Thesis
Lower municipalities' energy bill and improve the quality and durability of public lighting
Enabling Environment
Policy Environment
(Daylight savings policy): The new administration's removal of the daylight savings comes with a commitment to improve efficiency of public infrastructure such as public lighting through the use of new technology (14)
Financial Environment
Financial incentives: BNDES has included high-power LED luminaires in the credit lines of the bank’s Special Industrial Financing Agency (Finame) (12)
Fiscal incentives: Municipalities and the Federal District collect "Contribution to Public Lighting Costs“ (COSIP) customers' itemized bills. This provides extra funding to pay for public street lighting improvements (10)
Other incentives: he World Bank's FinBRAZEEC will partner with CEF, a state-owned financial institution bank in Brazil, as the project’s financial intermediary. Commercial lenders will benefit from a partial credit guarantee offered by CEF (13)
Regulatory Environment
(ANEEL): Lighting regulation is undertaken by ANEEL, the national electric energy agency, with pricing additionally determined by municipal, state and federal taxes and the Public Lighting Contribution rate (17)
Marketplace Participants
Private Sector
SX Lighting
Government
Larger municipalities with good credit standing
Multilaterals
The World Bank
Target Locations
Brazil: Mato Grosso
Brazil: Mato Grosso do Sul
Brazil: Goiás
References
- (1) Bertelsmann Stiftung, 2019, https://dashboards.sdgindex.org/#/BRA
- (2) World Bank, 2019, https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2019/06/19/lifelines-for-better-development?cid=ECR_LI_worldbank_EN_EXT
- (3) Globo, 2019, https://g1.globo.com/economia/noticia/2019/02/10/investimento-do-governo-em-infraestrutura-no-ano-passado-e-o-menor-em-dez-anos.ghtml
- (4) Correio Braziliense, 2018, https://www.correiobraziliense.com.br/app/noticia/economia/2018/11/02/internas_economia,717118/novo-governo-planeja-viabilizar-investimentos-e-r-180-bi-na-infraestr.shtml
- (5) OECO, 2012, https://www.oeco.org.br/noticias/26650-brasil-perde-20-de-energia-nas-linhas-de-transmissao/
- (6) Correio da Bahia, 2018, https://www.correio24horas.com.br/noticia/nid/mais-de-50-dos-municipios-baianos-tem-problemas-de-saude-por-falta-de-saneamento/
- (7) Agénor, Pierre-Richard, and Otaviano Canuto. 2013. “Gender Equality and Economic Growth in Brazil.” The World Bank, https://ems.gtc.ox.ac.uk/sites/ems.gtc.ox.ac.uk/files/EP109.pdf
- (8) Associação Nacional dos Consumidores de Energia, 2016, http://www.anacebrasil.org.br/noticias/grandes-apagoes-viram-rotina-no-brasil/
- (9) BNDES, 2018, https://web.bndes.gov.br/bib/jspui/bitstream/1408/16040/3/PRLiv214078_Visao_2035_compl_P.pdf
- (10) World Bank ESMAP, 2017 https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/bitstream/handle/10986/29537/ESM-P150942-PUBLIC-LightingBrazilianCitiesReportENGLISHFINAL.pdf?sequence=1&isAllowed=y
- (11) SX Lighting, 2017, https://sxlighting.com.br/en/blog/cresce-demanda-por-luminarias-led-no-brasil/
- (12) SX Lighting, 2017, https://sxlighting.com.br/en/blog/brasil-tem-avancos-em-tecnologias-de-iluminacao-led/
- (13) World Bank, 2018, https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2018/07/27/eficiencia-energetica-fundamental-futuro-ciudades-sostenibles
- (14) Globo, 2019, https://g1.globo.com/economia/noticia/2019/01/21/bolsonaro-herda-69-projetos-do-ppi-de-temer-e-quer-ampliar-privatizacoes.ghtml
- (15) Associação Nacional dos Consumidores de Energia, 2016, http://www.anacebrasil.org.br/noticias/grandes-apagoes-viram-rotina-no-brasil/
- (16) World Resources Institute, 2019, https://wriorg.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/shifting-currents_0.pdf?_ga=2.165667197.35428254.1559688164-1749031158.1557484742
- (17) Aneel, 2016, http://www.aneel.gov.br/conteudo-educativo/-/asset_publisher/vE6ahPFxsWHt/content/composicao-da-tarifa/654800?inheritRedirect=false
- (18) Tracking SDG7: The Energy Progress Report. “Brazil | Tracking SDG 7.” https://trackingsdg7.esmap.org/country/brazil.
- (19) United Nations Global SDG Database. “SDG Indicators.” https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/database/.