Off grid energy

Off-Grid Photovoltaic Systems for Rural Electrification

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Off-Grid Photovoltaic Systems for Rural Electrification

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Alternative Energy
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
10% - 15% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
USD 100 million - USD 1 billion
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 1 million - USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)

Business Model Description

Invest in the commercialization of standalone solar systems and energy efficiency equipment or the construction, operation, and maintenance of solar mini-grids for rural electrification. Private operators secure concession agreements from Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale (AMADER) and provide partial financing for infrastructure construction.

Expected Impact

Decarbonize electricity generation in rural areas, reducing production costs, and increasing affordability to promote socioeconomic development.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Mali: Countrywide
  • Mali: Mopti
  • Mali: Sikasso
  • Mali: Koulikoro
  • Mali: Ségou
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Renewable Resources and Alternative Energy

Development need
Mali faces a significant electricity deficit, relying on Côte d'Ivoire for 25% of its supply. Over 75% of domestic power plants run on diesel and heavy fuel, contributing to 31% of the energy sector’s greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. At the same time, only 1.9% of the population has access to clean cooking solutions, placing further pressure on forest resources (1, 2).

Policy priority
The Government of Mali prioritizes renewable energy, aiming to reach 36.9% of renewables (including hydro) in the electricity mix by 2030, according to Plan d'Action National d'Énergies Renouvelables 2015-2020/2030 (2015–2020/2030). The plan also targets universal access to clean cooking technologies. Contribution déterminée au niveau national also supports these goals (8).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
There are regional disparities in access to electricity in Mali. The Northern regions of Menaka (0.7%), Tombouctou (41.9%), Gao (51.4%), Taoudeni (57.5%), and Kidal (58.1%) lagged behind the national average, which stood at 79.9% in 2023 (3).

Investment opportunities introduction
Mali has a high renewable energy potential, 6 kWh/m² of solar irradiation, 1150 MW of hydropwer exploited at only 22%, 3 to 7 m/s of wind exposition, and a reserve of more than 670 billion cubic meters of renewable geological hydrogen, composed of 98% hydrogen and 2% methane and helium. These resources present a strong foundation for expanding the share of renewables in the country's final energy consumption and accelerating the transition to a low-carbon energy system (1, 6).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Weak electricity subsidy policies and an inefficient transmission network hinder Mali's transition to renewable energy (5, 7, 9).

Sub Sector

Alternative Energy

Development need
In 2021, 62.7% of rural electricity in Mali was generated from thermal sources, increasing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions as many households depend on wood fuel and kerosene. Generation costs are higher in rural areas (USD 0.27/kWh vs. USD 0.25/kWh in urban areas), resulting in higher tariffs (USD 0.29/kWh vs. a subsidized USD 0.16/kWh in cities), effectively excluding poorer households (7).

Policy priority
Contribution Déterminée Nationale aims to cut energy sector emissions by 31% by 2030, focusing on hybrid and solar electrification in rural areas, among other initiatives. Cadre stratégique pour la relance économique et le développement durable 2019-2023 promotes nationwide supply of electricity in sufficient quantity and quality, including in rural areas (1, 24).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
In 2023, 22.3% of rural low-income households had no access to electricity from any source, including power generators. Among those with electricity access, 22.7% still relied on non-viable solutions such as candles and battery-powered torches for lighting in 2024 (4).

Investment opportunities introduction
In rural Mali, only 12.2% of the electrified population is served by the national utility, Energie du Mali (EDM), while standalone solar systems and mini-grids account for 63.7% and 1%, respectively. This underscores strong potential for scaling decentralized solar energy solutions across rural areas (5).

Key bottlenecks introduction
Regulatory gaps on solar energy systems, stringent regulation on rural electricity tariffs, conflict-related insecurity in some rural areas, poor solar panel monitoring, inconsistent import exemptions, limited long-term financing, and a shortage of skilled labor constitute challenges for the development of an effective green energy-based energy sector in Mali (5).

Industry

Solar Technology and Project Developers

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Off-Grid Photovoltaic Systems for Rural Electrification

Business Model

Invest in the commercialization of standalone solar systems and energy efficiency equipment or the construction, operation, and maintenance of solar mini-grids for rural electrification. Private operators secure concession agreements from Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale (AMADER) and provide partial financing for infrastructure construction.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Market Size (USD)
Describes the value in USD of a potential addressable market of the IOA.

USD 100 million - USD 1 billion

CAGR
Describes the historical or expected annual growth of revenues in the IOA market.

5% - 10%

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

3.9 million people could be served by mini-grids and 4.3 million by standalone systems.

Electricity demand in Mali grows at 10% annually between 2012 and 2020 but is projected to slow to 5.69% per year between 2020 and 2030. Frequent outages from transmission inefficiencies and high diesel generator costs drive industrial and commercial operators toward standalone solar systems (7, 11, 13).

African Development Bank estimates that 3.9 million people (21% of the non-electrified population) will be best served by mini-grid solutions in Mali, with the highest potential in Mopti. This represents an annual market of USD 128 million to USD 212 million. The report also indicates that 4.3 million people (27% of the non-electrified population) will be best served by solar home systems (13).

Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale (AMADER), the national rural electrification agency, expects to develop four solar rural electrification and hybridization projects in collaboration with private sector operators by 2030. These projects are evaluated at USD 119.14 million (1).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

10% - 15%

The economic appraisal of a green rural mini-grid project in Mali, under a concession agreement with Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale (AMADER), indicates an IRR of 10.5% without greenhouse gas (GHG) effects and 17.8% with GHG effects (7).

The economic appraisal of off-grid standalone solar systems for the use of households, private companies, and public institutions in Mali indicates an IRR of 17.1% without greenhouse gas (GHG) effects and 28.3% with GHG effects (7).

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Due to the high initial investment costs, it is expected that mini-grids and off-grid PV generate positive returns in over five years (11).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 1 million - USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Private operators must fund up to 20% of mini-grids CAPEX, twice the share in lower-risk countries, due to regulatory gaps on solar mini-grids, rural insecurity, poor solar panel monitoring, inconsistent import exemptions, limited long-term financing, and a shortage of skilled labor (5).

Market - Highly Regulated

Mini-grid operators must secure concession agreements from Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Énergie Domestique et l’Électrification Rurale (AMADER) to develop new projects. Moreover, rural electricity tariffs are regulated by decree and kept at very low levels (5, 17).

An evaluation of mini grids in Mali by Green Climate Fund indicates that the demand for new connections could be slow unless there is a support to productive use of energy like grain mills and cold storage. Optimal loans should average USD 826 with a 12-month tenor and 18%-20% interest rate (17).

Impact Case

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Sustainable Development Need

In 2021, 62.7% of the installed electricity generation capacity in isolated rural areas was thermal, against 37.3% solar. This contributes to greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, as non-electrified populations in Mali rely primarily on direct wood fuel and kerosene lamps for lighting (7).

The cost of electricity generation is higher in isolated rural areas (USD 0.27/kWh) than in urban areas (USD 0.25/kWh) in Mali. This leads to higher final average end-user tariffs in the former at USD 0.29/kWh against a subsidized USD 0.16/kWh in the latter, excluding poorer households (7).

Although the national electricity rate rose from 9.2% in 2001 to 79.9% in 2023 and several donor-funded projects are ongoing or planned for rural electrification, African Development Bank estimates that about 600,000 new households would still require off-grid connection by 2030 (3, 16).

Gender & Marginalisation

The Northern regions of Menaka (0.7%), Tombouctou (41.9%), Gao (51.4%), Taoudeni (57.5%), and Kidal (58.1%) lag behind the national average in terms of access to electricity. In other regions, access reaches up to 97.1%, after accounting for solar panels and self-generating diesel systems (7).

In rural Mali, 1 in 4 electrified households (22.7%) still relies on non-viable solutions like candles and battery-powered torches for lighting (6).

Expected Development Outcome

Solar mini-grid and standalone solutions reduce fossil fuel use, carbon emissions, and the cost of electricity supply. This improves the affordability of electricity services for rural end users and fosters the creation of income generating activities.

Decentralized solar solutions provides electricity access to unelectrified rural populations.

Gender & Marginalisation

Standalone solar solutions reduce energy inequality in less populated and conflict-afflicted Northern areas.

Off-grid solar solutions improve the quality of the electricity generation process in rural areas, improving the health outcomes of the beneficiary populations.

Primary SDGs addressed

Affordable and Clean Energy (SDG 7)
7 - Affordable and Clean Energy

7.1.1 Proportion of population with access to electricity

7.2.1 Renewable energy share in the total final energy consumption

Current Value

79.9% in 2023; 96.7% in Bamako, 77.1% among rural poor, and 79.3% among the poor in other urban centers (3).

71.2% in 2022 (14).

Target Value

Plan d'Action National d'Énergies Renouvelables 2015-2020/2030 targets a share of 81.46% in rural areas by 2030 (8).7

Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12)
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production

12.a.1 Installed renewable energy-generating capacity in developing countries (in watts per capita)

Current Value

2.1 watts per capita in 2022 (22).

Target Value

Plan d'Action National d'Énergies Renouvelables 2015-2020/2030 indicates a target of 1,416 MW by 2030, including medium- and large-scale hydro (8).

Secondary SDGs addressed

Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8)
8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9)
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)
10 - Reduced Inequalities

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Unelectrified households benefit from affordable, reliable, and clean electricity, improving their health outcomes.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Populations in conflict-afflicted Northern regions and the current electrified population who still rely on candles for electrification get access to sustainable, reliable, and cleaner sources of energy.

Planet

Greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions decrease from reduced reliance on wood fueal and kerosone for lighting.

Corporates

Micro, small, and medium enterprises benefit from continuous access to affordable electricity, enabling business expansion and the creation of new ventures. Healthcare centers also benefit, while drugstores improve their cold storage capacity.

Public sector

Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale (AMADER) benefits from reaching its target of mini-grid and hybridization projects defined in the nationally determined contribution (1).

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

Smallholder farmers gain from access to productive equipment like irrigation and milling machines, powered by electricity, boosting productivity and income. In the medium term, improved energy access will benefit children through better education, health, and nutrition outcomes.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

In the medium term, improved energy access enables women's economic empowerment by facilitating their participation in energy-dependent income-generating activities across agricultural and non-agricultural value chains.

Planet

Air quality improves from the reduced consumption of kerosene. Forest regeneration improves with the reduced need of wood fuel for energy generation.

Corporates

In the medium term, rural schools expand facilities and enhance equipment quality, with some integrating computers and the Internet into curricula. Vocational training centers evolve to offer specialized skills tailored to local needs.

Public sector

Ministère de l’Environnement de l’Assainissement et du Développement Durable from the decarbonization of electricity production, as defined in the nationally determined contribution (1).

Outcome Risks

Effective recycling and disposal measures are crucial in photovoltaic systems usage. Weak enforcement and inadequate policies on disposal can result in significant environmental harm (15).

The manufacturing of solar technologies outside the domestic borders could pose a risk of heightened reliance on imported goods and could increase the quantity of imported greenhouse gas emissions.

Impact Risks

The incomes of rural populations fluctuate widely and are exposed to climatic risks (crop losses). This can interrupt their electricity consumption in the event of financial difficulties (14).

Insecurity in northern regions may exacerbate service disruptions and hinder equipment maintenance, limiting the potential impact on reducing inequalities.

If tariffs are not affordable, parts of the rural population may be excluded from benefiting from this opportunity.

Impact Classification

C—Contribute to Solutions

What

Off-grid solar systems for rural electrification decarbonize electricity generation in rural areas, reduce production costs, and increase affordability to promote socioeconomic development.

Who

Unelectrified rural populations; Northern and conflict-zone populations; women; children; farmers; healthcare centers; education facilities; micro, small, and medium entreprises are impacted.

Risk

Fluctuating incomes of rural populations from climatic risks, conflict-related insecurity, and high end-user tariffs could limit the expected positive impacts.

Contribution

Off-grid solar systems help reduce carbon emissions from rural electricity production, which currently relies 30% on diesel and heavy fuel oil (4, 7).

How Much

In Mali, 1 MW of solar mini-grid can offset 170,145 tCO2, or 1.4 tCO2 per MWh for self-generating diesel systems and 0.8 tCO2 per MWh for diesel-based mini-grids with storage (7, 14).

Impact Thesis

Decarbonize electricity generation in rural areas, reducing production costs, and increasing affordability to promote socioeconomic development.

Enabling Environment

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Policy Environment

Plan d'Action National d'Énergies Renouvelables, 2015-2020/2030: aims to raise the share of renewables in the electricity mix to 8.63% (excluding hydro) and 36.88% (including hydro) by 2030, and to build 250 solar or hybrid mini-grids to serve 66.64% of the rural population (8).

Contribution Déterminée au Niveau National Révisée, 2021: outlines Mali's environmental targets, including a 31% reduction in energy sector emissions by 2030, through initiatives such as hybrid and solar electrification in rural areas (1).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Fonds d'Électricité Rurale (FER) provides an initial investment subsidy of up to 70-80% CAPEX for new private rural mini-grid operators in Mali. The subsidy aims to make tariffs acceptable for rural end users, ensuring profitability for private operators (17).

Financial incentives: Fonds de Garantie pour le Secteur Privé covers 50% to 70% in guarantees for loans to companies operating in renewable energy for more than a year in Mali. The fund offers regular guarantee for loans up to USD 641,225 and co-guarantee for loans over USD 1.6 million (11, 13).

Financial incentives: Fondation pour l’Énergie propre et l’inclusion énergétique en Afrique provides up to USD 1.8 million in subsidy to mini grid operators in Mali (19).

Other incentives: Under Green Climate Fund's Mali solar rural electrification project 2019-2027, Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale provides a renewable concession agreement for 15 years to mini-grid firms, provided they supply 20% CAPEX (17).

Other incentives: Under World Bank's Mali Electricity System Reinforcement and Access Expansion Project 2023-2028, Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale provides concession agreements for 40 hybrid and 70 solar PV mini grids projects (7).

Regulatory Environment

Order No. 2015-0604/P-RM, 2015: allows private operators to build, operate, and maintain rural electrification for up to 30 years under a public service delegation model and establishes the Fonds d'Électricité Rurale fund for partial financing (15).

Decree No. 2015-0604/P-RM on public procurement and public service delegation code, 2015: describes the procedure that private operators must follow to obtain public service delegation for rural electrification (20).

Law No. 2016-061 on public-private partnership, 2016: regulates the procedure for the attribution of concession agreements (31).

Order No. 2020-012/P-RM on exemption of renewable energy equipment from VAT, import duties and taxes, 2020: exempts solar equipment, including photovoltaic panels and solar batteries, from VAT and import duties (10).

Marketplace Participants

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Private Sector

Access, Geen Energy Mali, SolarX, Horonya Solar, Sonikara Solar Electro SARL, Kama, Yeleen Kura, Zed SA, Emicom, Artelia, WeLight, FlexGrid, Africa Power 1, Scatec Solar.

Government

Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale (AMADER), Ministère de l’Environnement, de l’Assainissement et du Développement Durable, Ministère de l'Énergie et des Mines.

Multilaterals

World Bank, Agence Française de Développement, Green Climate Fund, Banque Ouest Africaine de Développement, Fondation pour l’Énergie propre et l’inclusion énergétique en Afrique (CEI Africa).

Non-Profit

Association pour la Formation, la Recherche et le Développement, Fondation Énergies pour le Monde, Foundation Rural Energy Services, Geres, Mali-Folkecenter Nyetaa, Reso Climat Mali, Fédération des ONG du Mali (FECONG).

Public-Private Partnership

Public service delegation contract between Access SA and Agence Malienne pour le Développement de l’Energie Domestique et l’Electrification Rurale (AMADER) in 2008 (11).

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Mali: Countrywide

High energy costs and frequent power outages make standalone solar systems crucial countrywide, particularly in conflict zones. The African Development Bank estimates they could best serve 333,000 people in Tombouctou, 313,000 people in Gao, and 58,000 people in Kidal (13).
rural

Mali: Mopti

African Development Bank estimates that mini-grids would serve 859,000 unelectrified people in Mopti, while standalone solar systems would best serve 793,000 people. The mini-grid market is estimated at USD 47 million (13).
rural

Mali: Sikasso

African Development Bank estimates that mini-grids would serve 814,000 unelectrified people in Mopti, while standalone solar systems would best serve 615,000 people. The mini-grid market is estimated at USD 44 million (13).
rural

Mali: Koulikoro

African Development Bank estimates that mini-grids would serve 710,000 unelectrified people in Koulikoro, while standalone solar systems would serve 736,000 people. The mini-grid market is estimated at USD 39 million, while nearby Kayes has a market of USD 31 million for 1.38 million people (13).
rural

Mali: Ségou

African Development Bank estimates that mini-grids would serve 659,000 unelectrified people in Segou, while standalone solar systems would best serve 586,000 people. The mini-grid market is estimated at USD 36 million (13).

References

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