Agro-industrial processing

Agro-industrial processing

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Agro-industrial processing

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Beverage
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Food and Agriculture
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
> 25% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
Annually, Nigeria imports over USD 300 million worth of dairy products alone.
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 1 million - USD 10 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
No Poverty (SDG 1) Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Decent Work and Economic Growth (SDG 8) Responsible Consumption and Production (SDG 12) Climate Action (SDG 13)

Business Model Description

Establish agro-industrial processing facilities across the value chains in the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones (SAPZ).

Expected Impact

Increase value added in food chains, strengthen economic growth and generate decent jobs.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Nigeria: Countrywide
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Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Food and Beverage

Development need
About 25.5% of Nigeria’s population lacks adequate and improved nutrition.(1) Similarly, data from the National Bureau of Statistics suggests 26.4% of the population experienced severe food insecurity in 2016.(1) The Sustainable Development Report ranks Nigeria number 48.0 for SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). While performance against this Goal has improved, major challenges persist.(2)

Policy priority
The government intensified efforts to improve agricultural yield, and investments aim to improve agricultural infrastructure.(1) Policy priorities outlined in the Economic Recovery and Growth Plan aim to: increase agricultural GDP (gross domestic product) to NGN 21.0 trillion in 2020 at an average annual growth rate of 6.9%; reduce food imports; and become a key exporter of agricultural products.(3)

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Agriculture and trade account for the majority of Nigeria's employment opportunities. Most people in these sectors work informally (92% of those employed in agriculture, and 56% of those employed in trade), and so rely on daily wages. Generally, informal workers have no pension or life insurance, and have limited health insurance coverage. They are more exposed to shocks, especially to their health, and are vulnerable to poverty and hunger. Micro, small and medium enterprises (MSMEs) are most likely to be affected by the upcoming recession, and will take longer to overcome the economic impacts of COVID-19.(4)

Investment opportunities introduction
The government is also considering strategies such as providing irrigation infrastructure to enable year-round production to boost agricultural productivity.(3)

Key bottlenecks introduction
The Sustainable Development Report ranks Nigeria number 48.0 for SDG 2 (Zero Hunger). While performance against this Goal has improved, major challenges persist.(2)

Sub Sector

Food and Agriculture

Development need
In 2018, agriculture accounted for 21.2% of Nigeria's GDP (gross domestic product) and employed two-thirds of the working population.(3) Indicators of adult obesity have improved, while indicators of undernourishment have underperformed. Prevalence of stunting in children is falling.(5)

Industry

Agricultural Products

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Agro-industrial processing

Business Model

Establish agro-industrial processing facilities across the value chains in the Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones (SAPZ).

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

Annually, Nigeria imports over USD 300 million worth of dairy products alone.

Africa's agro-allied economy is projected to reach USD 1 trillion by 2030.(6)

Nigeria's agricultural sector has seen some progress. Rice production increased from 3.8 million tonnes in 2017 to 4.8 million tons in 2019. Fertilizer production capacity also increased to over 2 million tonnes each year.(6)

Dairy demand in Nigeria was estimated at 1.7 million tonnes of milk, with local production satisfying only 5% of this demand. Nigeria imports over USD 300 million worth of dairy products annually.(7)

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

> 25%

A benchmark company from Uganda (Mujaasi Investments Limited) aggregates, processes, markets and sells cereals, grains and fresh fruit. This fast-growing enterprise has a forecast internal rate of return of 233% over the 5 years following 2019.(8)

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Medium Term (5–10 years)

Producing cash flow from investments in agricultural processing depends largely on the specific sector. However, most agro-processors generate cashflow and profit in the medium term.

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 1 million - USD 10 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Inadequate infrastructure. However, the government is tackling this by building processing zones across the country.

Market - Highly Regulated

Possible changes in the legislation and regulations governing the project.

Capital - Limited Investor Interest

Limited access to capital.

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

Nigeria is Africa's most populous country, with over 200 million people. The country has recorded impressive growth in infrastructure in recent years. However, existing infrastructure is not sufficient.

For the past four decades, agriculture has accounted for 30% - 40% of Nigeria's economic output and employed around 20 million people. The country has the available resources to feed itself, with 90 million hectares of arable land, abundant water supply and labour.(9)

Around USD 22 billion is spent annually on importing rice, sugar, wheat, maize and other food. This result reflects farming yields that are significantly lower than global averages. However, there has been some progress, e.g. rice production capacity increased from 3.8 million tonnes in 2017 to 4.8 million tonnes in 2019.(9)

Gender & Marginalisation

Long term efforts to improve women's access to agriculture and livelihood resources (including land, agricultural inputs and education) requires tackling cultural and gender norms that prevent women’s empowerment. Anecdotal evidence shows women are less likely to gain access to credit, land and other agricultural inputs.(17)

Expected Development Outcome

Investments could multiply benefits in terms of increased farmers' earnings, reduced farm losses, minimized distribution costs, and increased employment opportunities.

Investments could facilitate agro-allied clusters, transform rural communities and reduce poverty.

Gender & Marginalisation

Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP) 2020 target for female population that owned agriculture: 80.8%. SDG target by 2030: 100%.(18)

Primary SDGs addressed

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty

1.1.1 Proportion of the population living below the international poverty line by sex, age, employment status and geographic location (urban/rural)

1.2.1 Proportion of population living below the national poverty line, by sex and age

1.2.2 Proportion of men, women and children of all ages living in poverty in all its dimensions according to national definitions

Current Value

62.6% of Nigeria's population live below the international poverty line: 69% of people in rural areas live below the international poverty line, compared with 51% of people living in urban areas.(17)

46% in 2018.(19)

42.2% in 2017.(17)

Target Value

The Federal Government is implementing a national Social Investment Programme which focuses on providing Social Safety Nets for the poor, welfare for the unemployed and job creation and skills enhancement with a target of creating about 3 million jobs.(17)

21.1% by 2030.(17)

Zero Hunger (SDG 2)
2 - Zero Hunger

2.1.1 Prevalence of undernourishment

2.1.2 Prevalence of moderate or severe food insecurity in the population, based on the Food Insecurity Experience Scale (FIES)

Current Value

25.5% in 2015.(18)

Moderate: 26.4%. Severe 19.6%.(18)

Target Value

Derived ERGP (Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) target by 2020: 17%, by 2030: 0. (18)

Derived ERGP (Economic Recovery and Growth Plan) target by 2020: 17.6%, by 2030: 0.(18)

Secondary SDGs addressed

8 - Decent Work and Economic Growth
12 - Responsible Consumption and Production
13 - Climate Action

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Small and medium-scale farmers, rural communities, households

Corporates

Processing companies, marketers, retailers.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

People

General population

Outcome Risks

Investments could result in improper waste disposal from factories that causes environmental hazards.

Impact Risks

Alignment risk given production may not be locked into an enterprise model.

Efficiency risk given these models are usually scaled using concessional financing.

Stakeholder participation risk given land use issues may arise after agricultural production reaches large scale.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Likely to have positive outcomes such as food security, employment opportunities, increased foreign exchange earnings, reduction in post-harvest losses, increased household incomes.

Risk

Change in government legislature

Impact Thesis

Increase value added in food chains, strengthen economic growth and generate decent jobs.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

The Federal Government and key investors have endorsed the African Development Bank’s Special Agro-Industrial Processing Zones (SAPZ) initiative, describing it as a pathway to Africa’s agricultural revolution.(9)

SAPZs are designed to concentrate agro-processing activities within areas of high agricultural potential and comparative advantage to increase productivity and competitiveness.

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: A government subsidy is available for farm inputs such as food crop processing and storage equipment and facilities, irrigation structure, dam and borehole construction, pumps, sprayers and other farm machinery and equipment.(14)

Fiscal incentives: The agricultural production income tax exemption means companies carrying out agricultural production are exempt from income tax for 5 years. The exemption can be extended for an additional 3 years if performance is satisfactory.(13)

Nigeria's agriculture is to be transformed by integrating agriculture value chains with agricultural lending, facilitated by the Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL).(13)

Regulatory Environment

Act No 19 of 1993 (as amended) and the Food and Related Products (Registration) Act No. 20 of 1999: The National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control (NAFDAC) is the regulatory body responsible for regulating and controlling food production, importation, exportation and sales.(10)

Food and Drug Act 2004: The legal environment around food, its handling and logistics is regulated by the Food and Drug Act Cap F32 Laws of the Federal Republic of Nigeria, which establishes provisions for ensuring food safety and regulates admissible ingredients.(11)

To enhance quality food production and supervise the sector performance, the Agricultural Transformation Implementation Council (ATIC) has been appointed to drive the Agricultural Transformation Agenda (ATA), which aims to increase efficiency and profitability along value added chains.(12)

The ATIC consists of the Agricultural Investment Transformation Implementation Group (AITEG), the Agricultural Value Chain Transformation Implementation Group (AVCTEG), the Ministry of Agriculture, the Agricultural Industry Advisory Group (AIAG) and the Agricultural Transformation Policy Group (ATPG). (13)

Other regulatory bodies include the Standard Organization of Nigeria (SON), Quarantine service, Federal Produce Inspection Service (FPIS), Presidential Initiative on Agriculture (PIA), Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL)

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

Deansmanger Project, Diageo Plc, Nigerian Breweries, United Africa Company (UAC), Flour Mills, Dangote Flour Mills Plc, OLAM, Honeywell Flour Mill Plc

Government

Agricultural Investment Transformation Implementation Group (AITEG), Agricultural Value Chain Transformation Implementation Group (AVCTEG), Ministry of Agriculture, Agricultural Industry Advisory Group (AIAG) and Agricultural Transformation Policy Group (ATPG), Nigerian Incentive-Based Risk Sharing System for Agricultural Lending (NIRSAL)

Multilaterals

International Finance Corporation (IFC), International organizations with focus on agriculture such as International Fund for Agricultural Development, Cultivating New Frontiers in Agriculture (CNFA)

Non-Profit

Local food banks, non-government organizations (NGOs), Cultivating New Frontiers in Agriculture (CNFA), Acumen Fund

Public-Private Partnership

Africa Agriculture and Trade Investment Fund (AATIF)

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Nigeria: Countrywide

The Federal government is working to establish agro-industrial parks in all 6 geopolitical zones.(15)

References

See what sources were used to establish the investment opportunity’s data and find resources that could be consulted to explore more.