Affordable housing rental finance
Business Model Description
Provide affordable housing finance to households outside the formal banking system and with limited credit history, at conditioned repayment rates
Expected Impact
Enhance access to affordable housing for households outside the formal banking system
How is this information gathered?
Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.
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Country & Regions
- Brazil: São Paulo
- Brazil: Rio de Janeiro
Sector Classification
Infrastructure
Development need
Brazil is held back by chronic underinvestment in infrastructure spending only 2.5% of GDP (2) This leads to critical structural inefficiencies: deficient existing transmission lines are responsible for a 20% energy loss (5); lack of investment in wastewater treatment is responsible for epidemics in over 1/3 of Brazilian households (6)
Policy priority
Infrastructure development is a top priority for the new administration, who has pledged to invest nearly US$ 50 billion in infrastructure in 2019 alone (vs. e.g., US$ 7 billion in 2018) (3) (4)
Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Poor access to core infrastructure
services forces women to allocate a large fraction of their
available time to family chores (7)
Investment opportunities introduction
New administration's infrastructure development pledge means closer collaboration with private investors (e.g., continuity of PPI program and concessions timeline from past to current administration)
Key bottlenecks introduction
Licensing, funding for land acquisitions, capital requirements
Real Estate
"Development need
More than 50 million Brazilians live in inadequate housing with 66% of those in need of housing living below the poverty line with low or no access to formal banking facilities (1)
The housing deficit in Brazil was nearly 8 million households in 2017, up from 5 million in 2012 (6)"
Policy priority
Social housing remains a government priority, with the current administration intent on reforming the 'Minha Casa, Minha Vida' program by further segmenting access to housing and financing
Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Traditional inheritance practices also hinder women’s ability to obtain land in rural areas and yet, as many women move to urban areas in search of jobs, affordable housing continues to be scarce (8)
Investment opportunities introduction
There is a housing gap of 6-8 million units in Brazil, and over 90% of these are concentrated within the affordable housing sector. This amounts to 25-30 million people without regular housing (6)
Key bottlenecks introduction
supply challenges and a huge financing burdens: a family earning up to three minimum wages spends over 30% of income on rent (2)
Real Estate
Pipeline Opportunity
Affordable housing rental finance
Provide affordable housing finance to households outside the formal banking system and with limited credit history, at conditioned repayment rates
Business Case
Market Size and Environment
Housing gap of 6-8 million units in Brazil, over 90% in affordable housing sector (13)
There is a housing gap of 6-8 million units in Brazil, and over 90% of these are concentrated within the affordable housing sector. This amounts to 25-30 million people without regular housing (13) There is an estimated ~3 million precarious households and shelters in Brazil, home to over 11 million people (11)
Indicative Return
20% - 25%
A benchmark investor operating in the subsector is targeting returns of 20-25% (15)
Investment Timeframe
Medium Term (5–10 years)
Enterprises like Bille, which provide both housing financing and physical housing infrastructure, operate a fast-deployment model which offers relatively immediate access to financing and broadened access to housing quickly by speeding up construction times (14) (15)
Ticket Size
> USD 10 million
Market Risks & Scale Obstacles
Market - Highly Regulated
Capital - Limited Investor Interest
Impact Case
Sustainable Development Need
More than 50 million Brazilians live in inadequate housing with 66% of those in need of housing living below the poverty line with low or no access to formal banking facilities (1)
The housing deficit in Brazil was nearly 8 million households in 2017, up from 5 million in 2012 (6)
Access to formal housing is largely driven by both supply challenges and a huge financing burdens: a family earning up to three minimum wages spends over 30% of income on rent (10)
Gender & Marginalisation
Traditional inheritance practices hinder women’s ability to obtain land in rural areas and yet, as many women move to urban areas in search of jobs, affordable housing continues to be scarce (8)
Expected Development Outcome
Ensure accessibility to housing for individuals and families at the bottom of the pyramid
Broaden access to finance to vulnerable people by offering alternative and tailored credit lines
Kickstart credit provision to millions of individuals, giving them the opportunity to grow financially
Gender & Marginalisation
Increase women's access to affordable housing
Primary SDGs addressed
11.1.1 Proportion of urban population living in informal, informal settlements or inadequate housing
16.3% (2018) (20)
Secondary SDGs addressed
Directly impacted stakeholders
People
Indirectly impacted stakeholders
People
Outcome Risks
Sustainable housing lending practices and greater private participation can create a window of opportunity for more predatory lenders to enter the market under the guise of sustainable financing
Impact Risks
Unexpected impact risk: predatory lenders entering the market under the guise of sustainable financing
Evidence risk: financing model still young and needs to be proven at critical scale
Stakeholder participation risk: low financial literacy and limited economic means of beneficiaries can limit the scale of impact
Impact Classification
What
Access to finance could provide affordable housing to individuals at the bottom of the socioeconomic pyramid and include them in the financial system
Who
Homeless, evicted, and citizens living in precarious housing are underserved due to a lack of affordable options
Risk
The financing model is still young and must be proven at critical scale; and low financial literacy and limited economic means of beneficiaries may limit the breadth of impact
Impact Thesis
Enhance access to affordable housing for households outside the formal banking system
Enabling Environment
Policy Environment
('Minha Casa, Minha Vida' program): social housing programme which segments access to housing and financing - resulting in two (rather than one) housing programs, with one focused primarily on lowest-income populations in which barriers to access housing are lowered (16)
(The Ministry of Regional Development): has made an explicit case to engage private investors and developers more closely than in past administrations (17)
Financial Environment
Financial incentives: Detailed financial incentives under the future reform of the MCMV program have not yet been disclosed
Regulatory Environment
(Ministry for Regional Development): governs and regulates affordable housing, supervises the 'Minha Casa, Minha Vida' program
(Caixa Econômica Federa)l: Housing lending is largely dominated by the government-owned Caixa Econômica Federal, which is supervised by a range of regulators, including the Central Bank (18)
Marketplace Participants
Private Sector
Bamboo Finance, Bille, Crinale
Non-Profit
Gerdau, Programa Vivienda, Favelar (works with Habitat), Metlife Foundation, Complexo Damareda, Racia Favela
Target Locations
Brazil: São Paulo
Brazil: Rio de Janeiro
References
- (1) Bertelsmann Stiftung, 2019, https://dashboards.sdgindex.org/#/BRA
- (2) World Bank, 2019, https://www.worldbank.org/en/news/feature/2019/06/19/lifelines-for-better-development?cid=ECR_LI_worldbank_EN_EXT
- (3) Globo, 2019, https://g1.globo.com/economia/noticia/2019/02/10/investimento-do-governo-em-infraestrutura-no-ano-passado-e-o-menor-em-dez-anos.ghtml
- (4) Correio Braziliense, 2018, https://www.correiobraziliense.com.br/app/noticia/economia/2018/11/02/internas_economia,717118/novo-governo-planeja-viabilizar-investimentos-e-r-180-bi-na-infraestr.shtml
- (5) OECO, 2012, https://www.oeco.org.br/noticias/26650-brasil-perde-20-de-energia-nas-linhas-de-transmissao/
- (6) Correio da Bahia, 2018, https://www.correio24horas.com.br/noticia/nid/mais-de-50-dos-municipios-baianos-tem-problemas-de-saude-por-falta-de-saneamento/
- (7) Agénor, Pierre-Richard, and Otaviano Canuto. 2013. “Gender Equality and Economic Growth in Brazil.” The World Bank, https://ems.gtc.ox.ac.uk/sites/ems.gtc.ox.ac.uk/files/EP109.pdf
- (8) Onsrud, Hazel, Silvane Paixao, and Sue Nichols. 2005. “Women and Land Reform in Brazil.” Department of Geodesy and Geomatics Engineering University of New Brunswick. http://www2.unb.ca/gge/Pubs/TR239.pdf.
- (9) Habitat for Humanity, 2017, https://www.habitatforhumanity.org.uk/country/brazil/
- (10) Folha de São Paulo, 2018, https://www1.folha.uol.com.br/internacional/en/brazil/2018/11/homelessness-and-lack-of-housing-stock-challenge-bolsonaro-administration.shtml
- (11) Istoé, 2016, https://istoe.com.br/183856_IBGE+6+DA+POPULACAO+BRASILEIRA+MORA+EM+FAVELAS/
- (12) Globo, 2017, https://extra.globo.com/casos-de-policia/favelas-tem-taxa-de-homicidios-por-tiros-tres-vezes-maior-do-que-as-demais-areas-do-rio-21728048.html
- (13) MMC Investimentos, 2019, http://www.mmcinvestimentos.com.br/en/_minha-casa-minha-vida/
- (14) Dalberg interviews, 2019
- (15) Next Billion, 2012, https://nextbillion.net/brazil-model-in-affordable-housing/
- (16) Globo, 2019, https://g1.globo.com/economia/noticia/2019/06/04/minha-casa-minha-vida-sera-dividido-em-dois-programas-habitacionais-diz-ministro.ghtml
- (17) Rede Brasil Atual, 2019, https://www.redebrasilatual.com.br/cidadania/2019/06/governo-bolsonaro-quer-passar-minha-casa-minha-vida-para-a-iniciativa-privada/
- (18) Banco Central do Brasil, 2019, https://www.bcb.gov.br/acessoinformacao/legado?url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww%2Ebcb%2Egov%2Ebr%2Fpre%2Fcomposicao%2Fcomposicao%2Easp
- (19) Ministério do Desenvolvimento Regional, "Programa Minha Casa, Minha Vida (MCMV)" https://www.gov.br/mdr/pt-br/assuntos/habitacao/minha-casa-minha-vida/programa-minha-casa-minha-vida-mcmv
- (20) United Nations Global SDG Database. “SDG Indicators.” https://unstats.un.org/sdgs/indicators/database/.