NAALYA TOWNSHIP, KAMPALA, UGANDA - SUMMER 2016 Naalya is quickly developing into a middle class residential neighborhood with high-rise apartment complexes and modest residential bungalows

Affordable and Eco-Friendly Housing

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Affordable and Eco-Friendly Housing

Country
Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Infrastructure
Sub Sector
Most major industry classification systems use sources of revenue as their basis for classifying companies into specific sectors, subsectors and industries. In order to group like companies based on their sustainability-related risks and opportunities, SASB created the Sustainable Industry Classification System® (SICS®) and the classification of sectors, subsectors and industries in the SDG Investor Platform is based on SICS.
Real Estate
Indicative Return
Describes the rate of growth an investment is expected to generate within the IOA. The indicative return is identified for the IOA by establishing its Internal Rate of Return (IRR), Return of Investment (ROI) or Gross Profit Margin (GPM).
15% - 20% (in IRR)
Investment Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.
Short Term (0–5 years)
Market Size
Describes the value of potential addressable market of the IOA. The market size is identified for the IOA by establishing the value in USD, identifying the Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) or providing a numeric unit critical to the IOA.
Annual housing shortcoming of 2,500-3,000 units
Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.
USD 500,000 - USD 1 million
Direct Impact
Describes the primary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11) Clean water and sanitation (SDG 6) No Poverty (SDG 1)
Indirect Impact
Describes the secondary SDG(s) the IOA addresses.
Good health and well-being (SDG 3) Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure (SDG 9) Reduced Inequalities (SDG 10)

Business Model Description

Construct affordable and eco-friendly housing for low-income households through a lease- or rent-to-own model.

Expected Impact

Improve wellbeing of low-income groups and address health and safety concerns in informal settlements.

How is this information gathered?

Investment opportunities with potential to contribute to sustainable development are based on country-level SDG Investor Maps.

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Country & Regions

Explore the country and target locations of the investment opportunity.
Country
Region
  • Djibouti: Obock
  • Djibouti: Dikhil
  • Djibouti: Tadjourah
  • Djibouti: Arta
Learn more

Sector Classification

Situate the investment opportunity within sustainability focused sector, subsector and industry classifications.
Sector

Infrastructure

Development need
Housing is among the key infrastructural challenges for Djibouti. Decent housing is out of reach for the bulk of the population, particularly considering house purchase and rental prices in the country (1). The lack of housing estates and the rising cost of construction materials explain the difficulties in accessing decent housing from which low-income social groups suffer (5).

Policy priority
The Vision Djibouti 2035 includes large-scale infrastructure investments focused on public projects, such as the construction of a railroad and a water pipeline (1). The Horn of Africa Initiative also prioritizes infrastructure, allocating USD 12.5 billion to develop cross-border regional infrastructure (3).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
Gaps in access to good infrastructure affect women disproportionately, with lack of access to water and electricity presenting larger opportunity costs for women. Poor urban transport also impacts rural communities' and women's access to key services and employment opportunities (4).

Investment opportunities introduction
Djibouti's young population provides an opportunity to strengthen and develop infrastructure projects, especially in real estate. Construction of affordable housing has a high potential to improve people’s living standards in Djibouti.

Key bottlenecks introduction
Challenges in the infrastructure sector include limited access to water rendering road construction and compaction work difficult, high costs related to imported construction material, and the lack of proven-in-marked business models in Djibouti.

Sub Sector

Real Estate

Development need
More than 50% of Djibouti's population lives in precarious housing conditions with only 26.2% of households living in solid housing with walls made of permanent materials. The estimated housing deficit in the country stands at around 2,500-3,000 homes annually, in addition to a structural housing deficit of around 30,000 homes (5).

Policy priority
The Government of Djibouti developed an accommodation policy adapted to the national socio-cultural environment (2). Financing mechanisms have been elaborated and social housing assistance programmes and policies have been enhanced in Djibouti (2).

Gender inequalities and marginalization issues
The population in the semi-urban or rural areas and a high number of refugees in Djibouti lack access to appropriate housing (7, 11).

Industry

Real Estate Services

Pipeline Opportunity

Discover the investment opportunity and its corresponding business model.
Investment Opportunity Area

Affordable and Eco-Friendly Housing

Business Model

Construct affordable and eco-friendly housing for low-income households through a lease- or rent-to-own model.

Business Case

Learn about the investment opportunity’s business metrics and market risks.

Market Size and Environment

Critical IOA Unit
Describes a complementary market sizing measure exemplifying the opportunities with the IOA.

Annual housing shortcoming of 2,500-3,000 units

The estimated housing deficit in Djibouti stands at 2,500-3,000 homes annually (9). More than 50% of the population lives in precarious housing conditions (8).

Indicative Return

IRR
Describes an expected annual rate of growth of the IOA investment.

15% - 20%

The dominant house investment models in a market in the region, with medium and high density projects, report an IRR of 16-17% (3). Housing developments oriented towards affordability and targeting lower income communities may result in lower returns.

Investment Timeframe

Timeframe
Describes the time period in which the IOA will pay-back the invested resources. The estimate is based on asset expected lifetime as the IOA will start generating accumulated positive cash-flows.

Short Term (0–5 years)

The investment timeframe varies by the size of the housing project. A sample case study from the region reports that the housing developer was paid all the due amount within a 2-year period after the completion of construction (6).

Ticket Size

Average Ticket Size (USD)
Describes the USD amount for a typical investment required in the IOA.

USD 500,000 - USD 1 million

Market Risks & Scale Obstacles

Capital - CapEx Intensive

Housing projects require significant capital expenditure, including due to the fact that most construction material is imported from abroad and hence costly.

Capital - Limited Investor Interest

While demand for affordable housing units exists, the small size of Djibouti's population and market may limit required scale and discourage some investors.

Impact Case

Read about impact metrics and social and environmental risks of the investment opportunity.

Sustainable Development Need

Djibouti's economic growth has resulted in significant housing needs. More than 50% of the population live in precarious housing conditions and only 26.2% of households have solid housing with walls made of permanent materials, namely concrete or brick (10).

For a majority of Djiboutians, living conditions are characterized by high congestion with an average of three people per bedroom (8).

Despite Government programmes on constructing housing villages, high costs of water and electricity connectivity prevent access from decent housing and basic services, which can negatively impact people's health and wellbeing (9).

Gender & Marginalisation

In rural regions, where a higher percentage of extreme poverty is reported - 62% in rural regions compared to 21% of the overall population -, the lack of financial resources for appropriate housing is more accentuated (23).

Expected Development Outcome

Affordable housing decreases inequalities in access to housing for low- and middle-income households and address poverty challenges. Well planned projects also reduces the prevalence of informal settlements.

Housing projects targeting low-income communities reduces communicable and non-communicable diseases connected with living in informal settlements, improved quality of life.

Eco-friendly housing decreases the construction sector's negative impact on the environment, and controlled sanitation system of housing projects leads to better sanitation services and wastewater management with reduced strains on the environment.

Gender & Marginalisation

Marginalized communities with lower purchasing power obtain access to safe and affordable housing. Women have greater opportunities to access land ownership.

Primary SDGs addressed

Sustainable Cities and Communities (SDG 11)
11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities

11.1.1 Proportion of urban population living in informal, informal settlements or inadequate housing

Current Value

64.50% in 2018 (15).

Target Value

0% (globally) (15).

Clean water and sanitation (SDG 6)
6 - Clean water and sanitation

6.1.1 Proportion of population using safely managed drinking water services

Current Value

Access to improved water sources of piped water for 97.94% of urban population (15).

Target Value

0% (globally) (15).

No Poverty (SDG 1)
1 - No Poverty

1.4.1 Proportion of population living in households with access to basic services

1.2.1 Proportion of population living below the national poverty line, by sex and age

Current Value

76% of population use basic drinking water services; 67% use basic sanitation services (2020) (16).

21.1% (16).

Target Value

0% (globally) (15).

0% (globally) (15).

Secondary SDGs addressed

3 - Good Health and Well-Being
9 - Industry, Innovation and Infrastructure
10 - Reduced Inequalities

Directly impacted stakeholders

People

Low- and middle-income households currently living in precarious housing conditions obtain access to affordable and safe units.

Gender inequality and/or marginalization

Women, refugees and people in informal settlements obtain housing options suited to their possibilities and needs, and can live in safe and secure environments.

Planet

The environment benefits from constructions conducted in a more sustainable manner and controlled living conditions.

Corporates

Construction services providers and construction materials manufacturers benefit from greater demand for their services and products.

Public sector

The Government benefits from reduced health and safety challenges in densely populated areas, and greater formalization of living arrangements.

Indirectly impacted stakeholders

Corporates

Secondary enterprises obtain opportunities to serve new housing projects, such as neighborhood supermarkets.

Public sector

Local authorities benefit from enhanced urban planning opportunities.

Outcome Risks

The construction of real estate may affect the value of land and buildings in the neighborhood, which may increase price levels negatively affecting affordability for low-income groups (17).

House construction may cause soil sealing, which contributes to possible land degradation and changes in groundwater (18). Real estate can also interfere with the natural habitat of wildlife.

Credits associated with housing purchases may create long-term financial burdens for households.

Impact Risks

In case that the price or rent for the housing are not as low as expected, the low-income groups' access to the units may be limited and thus the impact may be lower than expected.

Impact Classification

B—Benefit Stakeholders

What

Construction of affordable and eco-friendly housing improves the wellbeing of households and frees up resources for other essential needs, such as food and healthcare.

Risk

While the model of affordable and eco-friendly housing is proven, it must be tailored to the most marginalised groups of society to achieve significant impact.

Impact Thesis

Improve wellbeing of low-income groups and address health and safety concerns in informal settlements.

Enabling Environment

Explore policy, regulatory and financial factors relevant for the investment opportunity.

Policy Environment

Djibouti Vision 2035, 2014: Stipulates that the Government aims to work with the private sector to promote affordable housing (1), based on which authorities seek partnerships and new programmes in a bid to address Djibouti’s affordable housing deficit (8).

Strategy for Accelerated Growth and Employment Promotion (SCAPE) 2015-2019, 2014: Seeks to conduct demolitions of precarious housing and give priority to housing needs of households with incomes below DJF 150,000 (USD 850), based on a reformed framework and an active housing policy (19).

National Social Protection Strategy, 2018: Acknowledges the deficit in affordable and decent housing despite the existing government efforts, such as the construction of housing villages. It recommends private sector involvement and Government support for reducing factor costs (7).

Financial Environment

Financial incentives: Low-income housing developers benefit from a fixed reduced registration fee of DJF 100,000 (USD 550) for the acquisition of building land (7).

Fiscal incentives: Low-income housing developers benefit from tax breaks on specific imported construction materials, and breaks on interior consumption tax and value-added tax (9). General tax adjustments are granted on construction materials used for structural works (8).

Other incentives: The Integrated Slum Resorption Project of the Ministry of Housing supports the capacity of public institutions to implement the national slum-upgrading program (20), which may also benefit private developers.

Regulatory Environment

Housing Framework and Policy, forthcoming: The Strategy for Accelerated Growth and Employment Promotion (SCAPE) 2015-2019 defines the objective of developing such a framework and policy, which is yet to be released.

Law No. 104, 2016: Approves the development and town planning plan for the agglomeration of Djibouti City (21).

Law No.163, 2020: Specifies insulation standards for energy efficient public and private buildings (24).

Marketplace Participants

Discover examples of public and private stakeholders active in this investment opportunity that were identified through secondary research and consultations.

Private Sector

Shelter Afrique, Firm Factory Africa, Mineco Group, Kwangu, Koto Housing Kenya, Boma Yangu, Ongos Valley Development, Africa Reinsurance Corporation, Mbvoni, China Civil Engineering Construction Corporation (CCECC), Exim Bank.

Government

Ministry of Land Use, Urban Planning and Housing; Ministry of Social Affairs; Ministry of Environment; Urban Rehabilitation and Social Housing Agency (ARULOS); National Initiative for Social Development (INDS), Les Fonds de l'Habitat.

Multilaterals

World Bank (WB), African Development Bank (AfDB), United Nations Development Programme (UNDP), UN-HABITAT, Islamic Development Bank (IsDB).

Public-Private Partnership

The Housing Fund (Les Fonds de l'Habitat) is a semi-public entity that addresses inappropriate housing by building units upon the request of the Ministry of Housing (22).

Target Locations

See what country regions are most suitable for the investment opportunity. All references to Kosovo shall be understood to be in the context of the Security Council Resolution 1244 (1999)
country static map
rural

Djibouti: Obock

Obock records a significant need for affordable housing especially due to a rising refugee population (9, 13). Housing village projects by the Government have been finalized in four regions, including Obock (7).
rural

Djibouti: Dikhil

Housing village projects by the Government have been finalised in four regions, including Dikhil (7), which signals a need for affordable housing.
semi-urban

Djibouti: Tadjourah

Housing village projects by the Government have been finalized in four regions, including Lac Assal in Tadjourah (7), which signals a need for affordable housing.
semi-urban

Djibouti: Arta

Housing village projects by the Government have been finalized in four regions, including Omar Jagah in Arta (7), which signals a need for affordable housing.

References

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